2013 may be warmest on record, Australia swelters under heat wave – hint CO2 may be a factor

Predicted for today (BOM)

Predicted for today (BOM)

Australia is in the grip of an extraordinary heat wave that looks set to break existing temperature records. The warm period is expected to extend until March. It is going to be a long hot summer, which brings with it the possibility of bush fires.

Recall the extraordinary heat waves that gripped North America last year in (March and June) in which thousands of temperature records were smashed. Let us not forget the 2012-12 drought that covers 80% of the United States.

In December of last year the British Meteorological Office predicts 2013 may be one of the warmest on record:

Taking into account the range of uncertainty in the forecast and observations, it is very likely that 2013 will be one of the warmest ten years in the record which goes back to 1850, and it is likely to be warmer than 2012. 

The prediction follows provisional figures for the observed temperature in 2012, published by the Met Office and University of East Anglia last month. These showed that global average temperatures in 2012 were 0.45 °C above the long term average based on data from the three international global temperature datasets used by the World Meteorological Organization. 

2012 is currently ranked the 9th warmest year on record. The global average temperature for 2012 falls well within the range predicted by the Met Office for 2012 of between 0.34 °C and 0.62 °C, with a most likely value of 0.48 °C above the long term average. This is consistent with the Met Office forecast statement that 2012 was expected to be warmer than 2011, but not as warm as the record year of 2010.

In 2011 over 34 billion tonnes of CO2 were released into the atmosphere – a 3% increase on the previous year and the highest on record.

But hey, coincidence right?

19 thoughts on “2013 may be warmest on record, Australia swelters under heat wave – hint CO2 may be a factor

  1. FrankSW says:

    You’ve got a lot of faith in the Met office, only last March they were telling us in the UK how dry it has been getting over the past few years and predicting a UK drought that would maybe last up to christmas and guess what, we had the wettest drought ever. Probably told us that droughts were becoming more common as well!

    Well always always willing to jump on a bandwagon after a string of floods and squelchy ground everywhere they apparently have changed their tune and now say “Statistics show that days of particularly heavy rainfall have become more common since 1960”. (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-20896049)

    Then of course there was their infamous “barbeque summer” in 2007, it was one of the cloudiest dullest summers we had for many years

    Are you sure you want to quote them so exactly?

    • john byatt says:

      You are going to need a link to what you are claiming, that link does not do it.

      So frank are you another Athiest? seem to be lots of them that deny climate change.

      Your view is consistent with the creationists

      • FrankSW says:

        The BBC link is probably limited to the UK, here is another one. http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/340414. That’s a lot of name calling in 2 or three lines, I just live through their dodgy forecasts and now find that it is generally more accurate to take the opposing view when the met office publishes a forecast of over a month.

        Some the met office quote of course is just filler nonsense, we are now at the peak of a warming trend so telling us that next year is going to be amongst the x warmest years is just stating the obvious. The question is what are the future trends , and there I find that anything over 4 weeks by the met office is way off.

      • john byatt says:

        BS. find the met quote regarding how dry and I will dicuss,
        I already knew about the rainfall I have been on the UK met mailing list for over a year.
        “only last March they were telling us in the UK how dry it has been getting over the past few years and predicting a UK drought that would maybe last up to christmas”

        I have never found the UK met to give such a long range, so find it first.

        The reason that I am supspicous is that only a few months ago forecasts that were not made by Uk met were being pushed as though they were in one of your crap papers

      • john byatt says:

        Met UK April
        does this sound like an effin forecast for drought through to xmas

        The Met Office’s forecast for May is currently that the month will start unsettled “with a continuation of showers or longer spells of rain, although there should also be some drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures will generally be close to or slightly above the seasonal average.” Later in the month, southern England can expect drier and sunnier weather, with rain concentrated in the north-west and in Scotland.

      • john byatt says:

        Hah, frank thinks that a negative amplifying effect produces a positive

        that is pure creationists dumbo logic

        franksw
        14 December 2012 8:19 PMLink to this comment
        21
        Well it is not peculiar at all – this release is so extremely damming to the alarmist cause that they have had to respond to this quote from the IPCC report.
        The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link.
        ie Anthroprogenic CO2 is NOT the be all and end all of mother earth’s atmospheric temperature and hence all that talk of Armageddon is subsequently utter rubbish.

    • Pip says:

      Frank, you are confusing the weather with the climate.

  2. Bernard says:

    So what is the long term average and over what period?

  3. john byatt says:

    Barnaby Joyce, climate change denier educated by the catholic jesuits when creationism was taught in catholic schools, jesuits still preach creationism. brainwashed in boarding school.

    Barnaby hates atheists

    http://www.canberratimes.com.au/opinion/editorial/the-sneaky-sect-20111221-1ugq5.html

  4. john byatt says:

    Cory Bernadi, homophobe extraordinaire and climate change denier was educated by the methodist church when creationism was still being taught . even after changing to the uniting church they were still performing exorcisms in the 1990’s

    Cory Bernadi, who needs Sarah Palin

    http://www.theglobalmail.org/feature/if-you-like-sarah-palin-youll-absolutely-love-cory-bernardi/390/

  5. john byatt says:

    Ex Senator Steve ” earth is only 5000 years old’ fuckwit Fielding. creationist and climate change denier is a member of city life church,
    I have no problems with what they believe but keep it out of climate change science

    http://www.citylifechurch.com/info/statementoffaith.aspx

  6. john byatt says:

    Hobart today recorded its highest temperature in 120 years of record keeping.

    The record maximum of 41.3 degrees was reached this afternoon and exceeds the pervious record of 40.8 which was set on January 4, 1976.

    the record was not broken, it was smashed

  7. Moth says:

    These will be the new norms of El Nino cycles… La Nina, the big rains of the previous couple years…

    Of course, the Earth is only in on the conspiracy as well – somehow a shareholder in the solar panel and wind turbine industries, cashing in on the climate fear campaign…

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