Image of the day (source BoM):
How things looked at 5pm:
Hat tip Sou for link.
that’s starting to look like it’s hot. you just wait for the WAIS disintegration, I guess those icebergs might have a (non-lasting) effect on your temperatures.
Hansen and Sato?
short term cooling would only be if ice islands drifted out of antarctica from memory
Reblogged this on Standard Climate.
By Peter Hannam, Carbon economy editor
4 January 2013
(Sydney Morning Herald) – LONG-STANDING temperature records may be broken in coming days as a massive heatwave sizzles much of the country.
A huge swath of central and south-eastern Australia is poised to swelter on Friday with temperatures expected to peak at 41 degrees in Melbourne, 44 in Adelaide and even 39 in Hobart.
“We probably will get close to some of the really significant Australia-wide records,” said Aaron Coutts-Smith, the NSW climate services manager at the weather bureau. “The majority of Australia is suffering from extreme high temperatures.”
Among the records to be challenged is the 40.17 degrees average maximum reached on December 21, 1972.
The country notched up an average maximum of 39.21 degrees on Wednesday, as measured across more than 700 weather sites. That result was narrowly outside the top 10 days recorded since 1950, Dr Coutts-Smith said.
Reinsurer estimates 2012’s disasters cost $160b
Hurricane Sandy was 2012’s highest insured loss, Munich Re says, costing
Natural catastrophes caused $US160 billion worth of damage in 2012, the world’s leading reinsurer, Munich Re, has estimated.
About 67 per cent of overall losses and 90 per cent of insured losses were attributable to the United States, with the year’s highest insured loss caused by Hurricane Sandy, with an estimated amount of around $25 billion, the reinsurer said.
“Last year, natural catastrophes caused $160 billion in overall losses and $65 billion in insured losses worldwide,” Munich Re said in a statement.
In addition, the US was also hit by severe droughts, as well as tornadoes, it added.
Overall, global losses were significantly lower in 2012 than in the previous year, when record figures were posted due to the earthquakes in Japan and New Zealand and severe floods in Thailand, Munich Re said.
In 2011, overall losses came to $400 billion and insured losses to $119 billion.
In terms of fatalities, about 9,500 people lost their lives in natural catastrophes last year compared with 27,200 in 2011 and a 10-year average of 106,000.
“The relatively small number of fatalities was due to the fact that, in 2012, few severe natural catastrophes occurred in emerging and developing countries, where natural catastrophes tend to have far more devastating consequences in terms of human lives,” Munich Re said.
The head of Munich Re’s Geo Risks Research, Peter Hoeppe, said Hurricane Sandy and the drought “clearly demonstrate the type of events we can expect to contend with more often in the future”.
However, he said it was not possible to attribute individual events to climate change.
“However, numerous studies assume a rise in summer drought periods in North America in the future and an increasing probability of severe cyclones relatively far north along the US east coast in the long-term,” he said.
The rise in sea level caused by climate change would further increase the risk of storm surge.
Munich Re board member Torsten Jeworrek said that the heavy losses caused by weather-related natural catastrophes in the US showed that greater loss-prevention efforts were needed.
“It would certainly be possible to protect conurbations like New York better from the effects of storm surges. Such action would make economic sense and insurers could also reflect the reduced exposure in their pricing,” Mr Jeworrek said.
Hurricane Sandy made landfall on the east coast of the US on October 29.
While at that point, its maximum wind speeds were no more than 150 kilometres per hour, “it was an exceptionally wide storm, measuring 1,800 kilometres in diameter – one-and-a-half times as big as Texas – so that the losses extended over a vast area,” Munich Re said.
The second major loss event of 2012 was the summer-long drought in the US that plagued the Corn Belt in the Midwest, where most of the US’s main agricultural crops, corn and soybean, are grown, Munich Re said.
Nearly half of US arable acreage was hit and overall agricultural crop losses in the US in 2012 totalled around $20 billion, “making it the biggest loss in US agricultural insurance history.”
In average years, insured losses are around $9 billion.
[…] 2013/01/03: WtD: Red: stunning image of Australia’s heat wave […]
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