The new normal: tornadoes strike Italy; hundreds dead in UK heatwave; Shanghai’s record breaking heatwave; Japan’s new national heat record

While Australia is focussed on the shabby and debased election campaign in which environmental issues are barely mentioned, evidence of disruptive climate change is mounting.

Stunning video of tornadoes striking Milan in italy:

The impact:

See full story here – though in fairness, tornadoes are sometimes seen in this region.

At least 700 dead in 9 day in the July heat wave that struck the UK:

Up to 760 people have died in England during the first nine days of the ongoing heatwave, according to estimates from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine as temperatures today continued to soar above 30C (86F) for the sixth consecutive day.

The hot spell, which began on July 6, is unlikely to pass until the end of next week, leading the daily to conclude that “this number is likely to double”.

The government’s national weather office issued a health warning to the country’s south east, urging young people and the elderly, as well as people with respiratory difficulties, to take precautions against the high temperatures.

In Shanghai, at least 10 people died during a record heatwave:

Temperatures in parts of China have hit record highs, prompting an emergency level-two nationwide heat alert for the first time.

In Shanghai, at least 10 people have died from heatstroke, as the city experiences its hottest July in 140 years, reports say.

Local journalists have demonstrated the heat by frying meat on the pavement.

The national heat alert covers nine provinces, including Anhui, Jiangsu, Hunan, Hubei, Shanghai and Chongqing.

According to figures from the Shanghai Meteorological bureau, Shanghai has seen 24 days with temperatures at or above 35C in July.

“It should be a new record since Shanghai had its own weather recording,” said chief service officer Wu Rui.

“Also, in July of this year Shanghai reached 40.6 degrees Celsius, its highest ever temperature. So the highest temperature in July also broke a record.”

Japan has also seen extremes with record breaking heat:

An all-time national heat record was set in Japan today (August 12th) when the temperature peaked at 41.0°C (105.8°F) at the Ekawasaki site in Shimanto (part of Kochi Prefecture). The previous record of 40.9°C (105.6°F) was recorded at Tajima and Kumagaya on August 16, 2007. Tokyo endured its warmest daily minimum on August 11th with a low of 30.4°C (86.7°F). This was the 2nd warmest minimum on record for Japan following a minimum of 30.8°C (87.4°F) at Itoigawa on August 22, 1990.

98 thoughts on “The new normal: tornadoes strike Italy; hundreds dead in UK heatwave; Shanghai’s record breaking heatwave; Japan’s new national heat record

  1. Jp says:

    All those heat records are wrong. They need to re-calibrate their thermometers. The facts, as told to me by Dr Lowatts, are that it hasn’t warmed for 15 years.

    And lets not forget the urban heat island effect, which, despite the name, has also been observed in the countryside and in the ocean. Yes, that’s right. It’s all been peer reviewed by Dr Lowatts, unlike all the dodgy warmist thermometers.

    Recently we’ve been hearing dubious alarmist news of record melting in the Arctic, which is more fabrication. Dr Lowatts was there last winter and there was ice everywhere. He even saw a couple of brown polar bears _ direct evidence of how fast species can adapt. All the talk about polar bears disappearing is just nonsense; they turn brown _ as they have always done in the past.

    It’s one thing to highlight all the terrible deaths from the so-called heat waves, but how about a bit of balance and point out that thousands are enjoying the heat and going to the beach and swimming pools and are able to take their shirts off without freezing to death and are getting some vitamin D for a change. So, please, no more alarmism; there hasn’t been any warming. And if there has been, we’ll all benefit from more vitamin D and they’ll be able to grow mangoes and grapes in the northern provinces of Canada. That’s got to be a good thing, considering the poor buggers have never tasted them before.

  2. Bill Jamison says:

    I wonder if the new normal is colder than average winters in the arctic?

    http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php

    • The DMI cites “”Since the 1970s the extent of sea ice has been measured from satellites. From these measurements we know that the sea ice extent today is significantly smaller than 30 years ago. During the past 10 years the melting of sea ice has accelerated, and especially during the ice extent minimum in September large changes are observed. The sea ice in the northern hemisphere have never been thinner and more vulnerable.”

      Did you note how much warmer the DMI (above the 80th parallel) the winter was?

      http://www.skepticalscience.com/DMI-cooling-Arctic-advanced.htm

      • john byatt says:

        Love how they refer to summer temps while the ice is melting.

        • john byatt says:

          Most of the area above 80N is (currently) still covered in permanent sea ice. In the Arctic Summer when the surface ice is melting, the air temperature close to the surface is limited by this ice melt temperature to just above zero degrees C (Rigor 2000). This is why the Summer air temperatures have not varied much over the entire instrumental period. This maximum temperature “clipping” effect is clearly seen on the following chart which shows measured 2m air temperature data from former USSR Polar Stations NP-6 and NP-30 from positions above 80N (see Lindsay 1998 for more detail). Data from these “North Pole” (NP) stations is considered to be the most accurate Surface Air Temperature (SAT) data from the Arctic Ocean.

      • Bill Jamison says:

        Did you notice how cold this summer was? I’m wondering if that indicates a cold winter to come since it was below normal basically the entire summer.

        • john byatt says:

          how cold what summer was? are you going to declare more ignorance ?

        • Bill Jamison says:

          This summer in the arctic jb. Look at the chart it barely got up to average temperatures this summer a couple of times and it’s already below freezing.

        • john byatt says:

          there have been three storms in the arctic this season, these are really a new development, when the storms hit the temperature drops but the storms have been ripping the sea ice apart,

          otherwise temps remain around zero as the ice melts.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          I’m glad to see that you know it’s not warm air melting the ice jb.

        • john byatt says:

          the salty water being churned up will not freeze at current temperatures the melt will continue

        • Jp says:

          “Did you notice how cold this summer was?”

          Not personally. This year I chose not to go to the North Pole for my holidays but from what I’ve read, it was really, really cold. Eskimos and other groups who live around the Arctic used to dive for abalones and other shellfish in summer. And without wetsuits. The last few summers they haven’t been able to do that. A whole way of life just disappeared _ Poof !! Gone. Someone should tell them about Global Warming.

        • john byatt says:

          very hot in the arctic.

        • john byatt says:

          The Arctic Ocean is turning red, as sea surface temperatures rise. The NOAA map below, dated August 12, 2013, shows sea surface temperature anomalies of up to 5°C across the Arctic Ocean. Virtually all areas were the sea ice has disappeared are now colored scarlet red.
          Locally, the situation can be even worse. The NOAA map below, dated August 13, 2013, shows sea surface temperature anomalies of about 8°C in many of the areas where the sea ice has disappeared.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Well we know the arctic was colder than normal this summer so what could possibly be causing the arctic ocean to be so warm john?

        • john byatt says:

          “so what could possibly be causing the arctic ocean to be so warm john?”

          SST temps are maritime ocean air temps.not ocean temps
          do you know the difference or can i explain for you ?

          once the ice is melted then the energy from the sun can warm the air and ocean.which is now happening

      • Bill Jamison says:

        Historically high heat over the past week has led to broken temperature records in all three northern territories but residents aren’t complaining.

        “Of course, I like it this hot.”

        Some places in San Diego set records for low temperature this week. We’ve had unusually cool weather for August but I was still surprised to see some places dropping into the 30’s already at night. That’s really unusual.

        What does it mean? Nothing at all. It’s weather!

        • Don’t join those dots. Heat records exceeding cold records.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          So every high temperature record is proof of warming and low temperature records are meaningless and should be ignored?

        • john byatt says:

          you do not get it at all record warm temps are outnumbering record cool temps two to one, in a stable global temps, records should remain equal

        • Bill Jamison says:

          I never claimed that global temperature has been stable. We all know that the temperature has gone up since about 1850. That’s not in dispute.

          The issue is whether every record is a confirmation of global warming and specifically catastrophic AGW.

        • Anthropogenic climate change (ACC)/anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is not a hypothesis. It is a robust theory, referred to as “settled fact” by scientists.

          Per the National Academies of Science, in their 2010 publication Advancing The Science Of Climate Change (pp 44-45):
          “Some scientific conclusions or theories have been so thoroughly examined and tested, and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small.

          Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts.

          This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of this warming is very likely due to human activities.”
          http://www.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=12782

        • Since then, Gillett et al (2012) also examined the human attribution of the warming trend observed. They found that humans are responsible for 102% of observed warming from 1851 to 2010 and 113% of the observed warming from 1951 to 2000 and 1961 to 2010 (averaged together).
          http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2012/2011GL050226.shtml

      • Subsequent to this, Huber and Knutti (2011) quantified that human attribution as being 74% and 122% due to humans (with a best estimate of around 100% human attribution). In other words, natural variability is not responsible for the observed warming trend.
        http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v5/n1/abs/ngeo1327.html

    • john byatt says:

      We have been warned before

      scorching 32.3 degree wet bulb temperature. Meanwhile, on the same day, Hangzhou had hit a new all time record high temperature of 105.8 degrees Fahrenheit, the twelfth time since July 24th that Hangzhou has tied or broken its old all time temperature record which, in some cases, was set just the day before.

      High heat and humidity of this kind is deadly to humans because as temperatures approach 35 degree C wet bulb readings, it is nearly impossible for the human body to carry away the excess heat it generates through evaporation. Never has a wet bulb temperature of 35 degrees C been recorded by humans. However, climate scientists such as James Hansen have asserted that it’s just a matter of time under the current regime of human-caused warming before we hit that ominous mark.

      • john byatt says:

        The highest wet bulb temperature values in the world are about 30-31C, during the worst heat/humidity events in India, the Amazon, and a few other very humid places

        32.3 is outstanding, a harbinger of the future.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Cite?

        • john byatt says:

          http://www.ccrc.unsw.edu.au/staff/profiles/sherwood/wetbulb.html

          your problem bill is that you let watts do your thinking.

          try to think for yourself and use logic ,

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Thanks for the link John. I’m glad to see the disclaimer there:

          “Here is a model prediction of what the above map would look like in a world of roughly 10C warmer global mean temperature (also an improved version of the figure from our paper): ”

          Fortunately we a long way from a 10C increase – if it ever happens.

        • john byatt says:

          especially as people are already dying due to higher WBT’s

        • Bill Jamison says:

          People have been dying from heatwaves for a long long time. Did you already forget that the two of the three deadliest heatwaves in Australia’s history occurred more than 70 years ago???

        • john byatt says:

          you do not know the difference between temperature and wet bulb temperature

          ask watts or do you want me to explain it?

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Yes I’m well aware of the difference between temperature and wet bulb temperature. Regardless people have been dying for a long time from heatwaves. It’s nothing new. Modern life has reduced the deaths in fact since we now have this nice little technology called air conditioning. Obviously not everyone has access to it otherwise more heat-related deaths would be prevented.

          You seem to ignore the fact that the scary forecast for high wet bulb temperatures are based on a 10C global average increase in temperature. In addition the relative humidity will also have to increase as predicted by climate models. So far that hasn’t happened.

        • john byatt says:

          that is the result of 10C, many places will have WBT way above the safe level well before that

        • Bill Jamison says:

          If temperature and humidity both rise. As you know, or should know, predicted temperature rise is not uniform. It’s higher in the polar regions than in the tropics where they already experience high wet bulb temperatures.

          In the link you provided when I asked for a cite they even allude to it:

          ” If they had coincided, the wet-bulb temperature would have been well over 30C, but I do not find any evidence of this and there are good reasons (explained in the paper) why the atmosphere would not let it happen….in today’s climate

          BTW in the paper discussed in that link they claim that wet-bulb temperature “never exceeds 31 °C” currently. Is there any confirmation of that reading of 32.3? Where did it occur and when?

          Here’s the full paper: http://www.pnas.org/content/107/21/9552.full

        • john byatt says:

          The simplest prediction of global warming’s effect on TW(max ) is to assume a uniform upward shift of the TW distribution. A 4 °C increase in TW would then subject over half the world’s population annually to unprecedented values and cut the “safety buffer” that now exists between the highest TW(Max) and 35 °C to roughly a quarter. A shift of 5 °C would allow TW(max ) to exceed 35 °C in some locations, and a shift of 8.5 °C would bring the most-common value to 35 °C. It has been similarly pointed out that a few degrees of warming will produce unprecedented temperature and agricultural stresses in the tropics (23).

          that is fairly straight forward

        • Bill Jamison says:

          “assume a uniform upward shift of the TW distribution.”

          That’s a critical assumption. Not sure it’s supported by the models.

    • Sou says:

      I remember the power rationing in Victoria during an extended heat wave some years back. Not nice. Infrastructure of all kinds and heat don’t go well together. (Rail lines buckling for example.)

  3. john byatt says:

    http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/13/science/timing-a-rise-in-sea-level.html?_r=2&

    On that crucial point, alas, our science is still nearly blind. Scientists can look at the rocks and see indisputable evidence of jumps in sea level, and they can associate those with relatively modest increases in global temperature. But the nature of the evidence is such that it is hard to tell the difference between something that happened in a thousand years and something that happened in a hundred.

    On the human time scale, of course, that is all the difference in the world. If sea level is going to rise by, say, 30 feet over several thousand years, that is quite a lot of time to adjust — to pull back from the beaches, to reinforce major cities, and to develop technologies to help us cope.

    But if sea level is capable of rising several feet per century, as Dr. O’Leary’s paper would seem to imply and as many other scientists believe, then babies being born now could live to see the early stages of a global calamity.

  4. john byatt says:

    August and already the climate sceptics are claiming another Arctic recovery, that is three recoveries since about 2007,

    just ignore that the so called recovery is exactly on the downward trend line

    the big problem as I see it is that we have projections for 2100 temps so we think that nothing happens til then
    same for sea level rise, nothing happens until we reach 2Degc.
    and again for humidity, nothing happens until we get to 10C

    the projections need to be within a period which we can relate too if we want people to understand that their lives will be effected,

    we should be referring to projections for 2050 not 2100

  5. john byatt says:

    Heat Waves to Become Much More Frequent and Severe

    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130815084845.htm

  6. Bill Jamison says:

    Hey john how long am I going to have to wait for you to admit you were absolutely completely and utterly wrong about the monthly mean temperatures???? I feel like I should cue up the Jeopardy music!

    • john byatt says:

      bill you have made a lot of errors in many of your previous comments, what i did like though was your insistence that the warming is continuing with wamest month in 2011 I have that on file

      • Bill Jamison says:

        Just as I expected from you john. I proved you wrong, I did the math and even offered to send you the spreadsheet but you still won’t admit you were wrong and that you’re a complete idiot.

        Well you don’t have to admit you’re an idiot that’s clear to anyone that reads your comments.

        • john byatt says:

          congratulations after weeks here you finally had a win, just ignore every stupid comment that you have made and just slipped off silently whenever you have been thrashed,

          I have already stated many times that i am here to learn, you are not here to learn,
          in every scientific study that has been posted you believe that you have more understanding than the scientists who have done the work.

          even after realising your IPCC SLR claim boo boo, you just shut down hoping that no one will notice.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          That sounds like an admission you were wrong – shocking!!!

          I’m embarrassed for you after being so adamantly wrong about since a fundamental issue and even the math involved. I explained it to you, gave you links, explained it in more detail, gave you additional links, and explained it yet again and you STILL didn’t get it. Maybe you’re just dense or incapable of understanding this type of issue. At least now I know.

        • john byatt says:

          so you will admit that you were wrong about lack of paleo evidence for faster sea level rise and the claims about IPCC SLR?

          I do not think you will, you could not even admit that you were wrong about Hansens answer to a journalist’s question.

          so you have made three idiotic statements in this thread alone ,

          are you man enough to admit them? NO

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Nice try jb typical of you to try to shift the focus so no one will notice the huge gaff you made. And you call me an idiot LOL

        • john byatt says:

          Not shifting anything bill but if that is how you get out of admitting three, sorry four idiotic statements in one thread then that is just you

          Claim of IPCC sea level rise

          Claim of 20ft rise to put west side highway partially underwater

          Claim of no paleo evidence of fast SLR

          claim about Hansen quote which was a misquote

          here is a bit more info on NYC and SLR

          http://www.globalwarmingart.com/sealevel?lat=40.77&lng=-73.952&zoom=12

        • Bill Jamison says:

          You’re so silly john. You make me laugh.

        • john byatt says:

          as usual bill makes four stuff ups and slinks of.

          you do not make me laugh , i feel sorry for you when the penny finally drops .

          we are used to your cut and run coward actions.

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Cut and run? I think what pisses you off the most is that I refuse to leave. I call you out when you’re wrong and you’ve never had anyone do that here before. You’re not used to people proving your ignorance, I’m sure it’s quite upsetting. I even tried to be nice and educate you but then you started in with your usual name calling and insults. That just makes you look all that much more stupid.

        • john byatt says:

          deniers come and go here bill, i have not been here that long myself

          we have had quite a few

          and we love a denier who believes in a magic self regulating global climate despite increasing greenhouse gases
          we want you to stay bill , make silly claims and then run when you are shown to be wrong

        • Bill Jamison says:

          “make silly claims and then run when you are shown to be wrong” says the man that was just proven badly wrong.

          Well at least I was able to educate you about anomalies and basic math.

        • john byatt says:

          sadly i cannot return the favor as you are too deep in denial to accept facts
          so you will just have to remain ignorant on these

          Claim of IPCC sea level rise

          Claim of 20ft rise to put west side highway partially underwater

          Claim of no paleo evidence of fast SLR

          claim about Hansen quote which was a misquote

          plus all the other cut and runs you have done over the past few weeks

          you sound like you read too much jonova

  7. john byatt says:

    anyone who believes one thing that nova says would have to be a complete moron

    http://itsnotnova.wordpress.com/

  8. john byatt says:

    bill’s projection

    ” I think what pisses you off the most is that I refuse to leave.”

    so now we know why bill is here. everyone will be unable to refute his twaddle and will leave.

    when you claim that the planet has a self regulating method to keep the temperature stable even after it has continued to warm in line with predictions,

    when you make silly statements

    Claim of IPCC sea level rise overestimation

    Claim of 20ft rise to put west side highway partially underwater

    Claim of no paleo evidence of fast SLR

    claim about Hansen quote which was a misquote

    then i think it may be you who wishes that we would go away,

    • Bill Jamison says:

      Hey john let me know when you figure out monthly anomalies. I’m also available for math tutoring you idiot.

      • john byatt says:

        keep praying bill, god may hear you

        • Bill Jamison says:

          You know I’m an atheist john, you previously asked and I told you, so why would you suggest I “keep praying” when I don’t pray at all? Are you so religious that you hope god will enable me to see the error of my ways? If you really are religious maybe you should try praying for enlightenment. It’s probably going to take a miracle to smart enough to figure out your mistakes.

          I do find it humorous that you keep calling me an idiot yet I had to teach you about a fundamental aspect of the climate debate (monthly anomalies). So if I’m an idiot what does that make you?

        • john byatt says:

          sprung?

          fundamentalist “god will maintain the globe at the temperature required for humans”

          bill ” the planet has a self regulating method to keep the temperature stable ”

          bill ” i am an atheist”

          bill ” thank you all for your thoughts and prayers”

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Not only are you an idiot but you’re apparently also a liar John. That’s shocking. You appear to be quoting me but you’re actually making up those quotes. That’s absolutely shameful.

        • john byatt says:

          No I did not bill and you know that it is true, I respect your privacy so will not link

          found that nearly a month ago when you were whinning about a news report

          your denial of that statement only confirms that you will tell lies for god

        • Bill Jamison says:

          Okay so you are a liar. Now I’ve confirmed that you are a liar and an idiot. I’ve made a lot of progress in just two days.

        • john byatt says:

          keep up the charade bill, but you are outed

        • Bill Jamison says:

          John are you really so embarrassed by your public display of ignorance that you have to try to “out” me as a Christian? Do you really think I’d publicly state that I’m an atheist if I believed in god? Really? Are you that stupid?

        • john byatt says:

          prediction

          bill will go from denying it to trying to explain it away

          watch this space

        • Bill Jamison says:

          john “I respect your privacy so will not link”

          But you didn’t respect my privacy enough that it kept you from reading two years worth of my Facebook posts after searching for it. All so you could try to “out me as a christian”.

          Is being a christian such a horrible thing on this blog that christians are “outed”.

          That’s pathetic.

  9. Bill Jamison says:

    300 year drought trigger collapse of ancient mediterranean cultures. Apparently drought WAS the new normal back then for those cultures.

    http://www.livescience.com/38893-drought-caused-ancient-mediterranean-collapse.html

  10. […] 2013/08/13: WtD: The new normal: tornadoes strike Italy; hundreds dead in UK heatwave; Shanghai&#821… […]

  11. I just enjoy read WTD, it is so informative (about John Byatt’s state of confusion.)
    This thread caught my eye, about the deaths due to “rising temperatures”, so I just had to compare with the deaths due to cold.
    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-204541/Deaths-cold-hit-2-500.html
    Just amazing what CO2 does eh John B.
    I suppose you are going off grid and are totally committed to a wind turbine in your backyard?

  12. 3 or before is usually pretty simple, and you can use PPTP or L2TP. Does Albany have to take an unethical approach for its economy. The BBC i – Player has been expanding its service to other countries and is now available in 11 counties in Europe.

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