The University of Michigan conducted a survey of 1000 in the US found some interesting results:
University of Michigan researchers asked about 1,000 people [PDF] this past fall whether there is solid evidence that the world has been warming during the past four decades, and 67 percent said “yes.” That’s down from the 72 percent that responded affirmatively in the fall of 2008, but up from just 52 percent in the spring of 2010. Of those who agree that the world is warming, just 19 percent attribute the change to natural patterns. The rest say humanity shoulders some or all of the blame.
Even 51 percent of Republicans agree that global warming is happening, according to the U of M poll, up from 33 percent in 2010.
However, it is well understood that “belief” can yo-yo with extremes with weather. What these figures will look like in a year will be interesting. Given that extremes events are happening with greater regularity I anticipate these figures will change, with even more accepting the science.
The deniers – victorious for a time – are now officially in retreat.
36% of the “rich” reject the science
What is fascinating is those groups that reject the scientific consensus – in particular the break down by personal income.
- 34% of those earning between $20-40,000 reject or are not sure of the science
- 33% of those earning more than $80,000 reject or are not sure of the science
- 23% of those earning between $40-80,000 reject or are not sure of the science
Table 2 contains these and many other interesting statistics:
Those over 65 more “sceptical”
It would seem the “angry old white guy” is well and truly captured by this statistic, with those above the age of 65 more sceptical (27%).
The religious reason for rejecting the science is rising: dramatic increase between 2008 and 2012
For some years I’ve made the argument that the climate sceptic movement and evangelical/creationist movements have been merging. The following graph goes some way to proving that.
Those surveyed who rejected the science, were asked to state why:
Between 2008 and late 2012, the religious reasons for rejecting the science has gone from less than 1% to 11%. The climate sceptic movement has been mobilizing the creationist and fundamentalist arms of Protestantism in the US.
This trend has been overlooked, and should be looked at more closely.
Looking out the window is a big driver of climate scepticism
Also note the other reasons for rejecting the science:
- Many sceptics some 19% base their rejection of the science on personal observation: apparently looking at the window is more than enough science for these people
- Some 33% fall back to the old “natural patterns” myth
These have nothing to do with looking at the evidence: it is merely personal opinion trumping science.
Climate change doesn’t discriminate based on your politics: Republican, Democrat, Labor supporter, Green or libertarian, atheist or devour Christian – we’re all on the same planet and equally vulnerable.
[Hat tip reader John Havery Samuel]